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Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Maryland Governor
In the 2002 Maryland Governor race, Robert Ehrlich Jr. (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.9
Final polls said
R+1.4
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potomac Incorporated | R+4.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+1.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | R+1.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | ABC News/The Washington Post | EVEN | 3.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2002-11-011
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-293
Potomac Incorporated2002-10-270
SurveyUSA2002-10-265
ABC News/The Washington Post2002-10-244
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Maryland Governor race?
Robert Ehrlich Jr. (R) won, by about 3.9 points (R+3.9).
When was the 2002 Maryland Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.