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Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Maryland Governor
In the 2002 Maryland Governor race, Robert Ehrlich Jr. (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.9
Final polls said
R+1.4
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potomac Incorporated | R+4.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+1.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | R+1.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | ABC News/The Washington Post | EVEN | 3.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2002-11-011
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-293
Potomac Incorporated2002-10-270
SurveyUSA2002-10-265
ABC News/The Washington Post2002-10-244
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Maryland Governor race?
Robert Ehrlich Jr. (R) won, by about 3.9 points (R+3.9).
When was the 2002 Maryland Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.