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Toss-up · 2002 House
Arizona House
In the 2002 Arizona House race, Richard Renzi (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.6
Final polls said
R+12.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grove Insight | R+5.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+12.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+12.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2002-10-228
Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory2002-10-198
Grove Insight2002-09-241
Public Opinion Strategies2002-09-153
Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory2002-09-134
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Arizona House race?
Richard Renzi (R) won, by about 3.6 points (R+3.6).
When was the 2002 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.