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Toss-up · 2002 House
New Jersey House
In the 2002 New Jersey House race, Scott Garrett (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+21.2
Final polls said
R+15.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+15.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | PSB Research | R+2.0 | 19.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2002-10-166
PSB Research2002-10-1219
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 New Jersey House race?
Scott Garrett (R) won, by about 21.2 points (R+21.2).
When was the 2002 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.