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Toss-up · 2002 House
New Mexico House
In the 2002 New Mexico House race, Heather A. Wilson (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+10.7
Final polls said
R+5.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+6.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Data West Polling | R+1.0 | 9.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2002-10-305
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-283
Data West Polling2002-10-2610
Research & Polling Inc.2002-10-091
Research & Polling Inc.2002-09-105
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 New Mexico House race?
Heather A. Wilson (R) won, by about 10.7 points (R+10.7).
When was the 2002 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.