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Toss-up · 2002 House
New Mexico House
In the 2002 New Mexico House race, Stevan Pearce (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+12.5
Final polls said
R+2.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+5.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+5.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Data West Polling | D+4.0 | 16.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2002-10-308
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-288
Data West Polling2002-10-2617
Research & Polling Inc.2002-10-0911
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-09-2511
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 New Mexico House race?
Stevan Pearce (R) won, by about 12.5 points (R+12.5).
When was the 2002 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.