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Toss-up · 2002 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2002 Pennsylvania House race, Jim Gerlach (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.7
Final polls said
R+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | R+5.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Global Strategy Group2002-09-182
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Pennsylvania House race?
Jim Gerlach (R) won, by about 2.7 points (R+2.7).
When was the 2002 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.