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Toss-up · 2002 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2002 Pennsylvania House race, Jim Gerlach (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.7
Final polls said
R+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | R+5.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMiss
Global Strategy GroupGrade C09-182002-09-182
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Pennsylvania House race?
Jim Gerlach (R) won, by about 2.7 points (R+2.7).
When was the 2002 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2002.