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Toss-up · 2002 House
Utah House
In the 2002 Utah House race, Jim Matheson (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.7
Final polls said
D+3.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarrance Group | D+1.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Dan Jones & Associates | D+6.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Moore Information Group | D+8.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Dan Jones & Associates2002-10-275
Tarrance Group2002-10-230
Moore Information Group2002-09-247
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Utah House race?
Jim Matheson (D) won, by about 0.7 points (D+0.7).
When was the 2002 Utah House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.