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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Iowa Senate
In the 2002 Iowa Senate race, Tom Harkin (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.4
Final polls said
D+17.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selzer & Co. | D+9.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+4.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gazette Communications | D+22.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+22.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Selzer & Co.2002-10-311
Gazette Communications2002-10-2912
SurveyUSA2002-10-2812
SurveyUSA2002-10-217
SurveyUSA2002-10-071
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Iowa Senate race?
Tom Harkin (D) won, by about 10.4 points (D+10.4).
When was the 2002 Iowa Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.