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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Iowa Senate
In the 2002 Iowa Senate race, Tom Harkin (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.4
Final polls said
D+17.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selzer & Co. | D+9.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+4.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gazette Communications | D+22.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+22.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Selzer & Co.2002-10-311
Gazette Communications2002-10-2912
SurveyUSA2002-10-2812
SurveyUSA2002-10-217
SurveyUSA2002-10-071
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Iowa Senate race?
Tom Harkin (D) won, by about 10.4 points (D+10.4).
When was the 2002 Iowa Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.