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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Minnesota Senate
In the 2002 Minnesota Senate race, Norm Coleman (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+2.2
Final polls said
D+2.5
7 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+0.2 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Zogby Analytics | D+5.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 4 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | D+5.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2002-11-032
Zogby Analytics2002-11-037
Zogby Analytics2002-11-015
Minneapolis Star Tribune2002-10-317
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-314
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Minnesota Senate race?
Norm Coleman (R) won, by about 2.2 points (R+2.2).
When was the 2002 Minnesota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.