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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
North Carolina Senate
In the 2002 North Carolina Senate race, Elizabeth H. Dole (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+8.6
Final polls said
R+5.1
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+7.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | R+7.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+4.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+3.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-11-032
Zogby Analytics2002-11-015
Ethridge & Associates LLC2002-10-292
SurveyUSA2002-10-295
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2002-10-286
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 North Carolina Senate race?
Elizabeth H. Dole (R) won, by about 8.6 points (R+8.6).
When was the 2002 North Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.