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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
New Jersey Senate
In the 2002 New Jersey Senate race, Frank R. Lautenberg (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.9
Final polls said
D+9.7
14 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | West Chester University | D+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+9.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | D+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Quinnipiac University | D+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mellman Group | D+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+12.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+7.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | A&A Research | D+7.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+13.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 11 | Gannett New Jersey | D+5.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
24 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-11-031
Zogby Analytics2002-11-013
Gannett New Jersey2002-11-015
Fairleigh Dickinson University2002-10-311
Quinnipiac University2002-10-311
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 New Jersey Senate race?
Frank R. Lautenberg (D) won, by about 9.9 points (D+9.9).
When was the 2002 New Jersey Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.