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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
New Jersey Senate
In the 2002 New Jersey Senate race, Frank R. Lautenberg (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.9
Final polls said
D+9.7
14 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | West Chester University | D+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+9.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | D+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Quinnipiac University | D+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mellman Group | D+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+12.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+7.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | A&A Research | D+7.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+13.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 11 | Gannett New Jersey | D+5.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
24 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-11-031
Zogby Analytics2002-11-013
Gannett New Jersey2002-11-015
Fairleigh Dickinson University2002-10-311
Quinnipiac University2002-10-311
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 New Jersey Senate race?
Frank R. Lautenberg (D) won, by about 9.9 points (D+9.9).
When was the 2002 New Jersey Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.