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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
South Carolina Senate
In the 2002 South Carolina Senate race, Lindsey Graham (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+10.2
Final polls said
R+9.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+12.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+8.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+17.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+1.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2002-11-029
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-287
SurveyUSA2002-10-269
SurveyUSA2002-10-191
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-157
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 South Carolina Senate race?
Lindsey Graham (R) won, by about 10.2 points (R+10.2).
When was the 2002 South Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.