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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Tennessee Senate
In the 2002 Tennessee Senate race, Lamar Alexander (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.9
Final polls said
R+9.3
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | R+9.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | R+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of Tennessee | R+12.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+7.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | R+13.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mellman Group | R+6.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | North Star Opinion Research | R+16.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2002-10-271
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-220
Ethridge & Associates LLC2002-10-201
SurveyUSA2002-10-206
Mellman Group2002-10-194
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Tennessee Senate race?
Lamar Alexander (R) won, by about 9.9 points (R+9.9).
When was the 2002 Tennessee Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.