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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Texas Senate
In the 2002 Texas Senate race, John Cornyn (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+12.0
Final polls said
R+5.1
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blum & Weprin Associates | R+9.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scripps Howard | R+9.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rice University | R+6.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | R+4.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Normington, Petts & Associates | R+2.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Frank N. Magid Associates Inc. | D+1.0 | 13.0 | ✗ |
| 8 | FM3 Research | D+1.0 | 13.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-11-038
Zogby Analytics2002-11-0112
Frank N. Magid Associates Inc.2002-11-0113
SurveyUSA2002-10-314
Blum & Weprin Associates2002-10-313
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Texas Senate race?
John Cornyn (R) won, by about 12.0 points (R+12.0).
When was the 2002 Texas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.