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Toss-up · 2004 Governor
New Hampshire Governor
In the 2004 New Hampshire Governor race, John Lynch (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.1
Final polls said
R+1.0
5 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | D+1.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+1.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | Suffolk University | R+2.0 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+3.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+9.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Becker Institute | D+10.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-303
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2004-10-271
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-265
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2004-10-202
Suffolk University2004-10-164
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Hampshire Governor race?
John Lynch (D) won, by about 2.1 points (D+2.1).
When was the 2004 New Hampshire Governor election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.