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Toss-up · 2004 Governor
New Hampshire Governor
In the 2004 New Hampshire Governor race, John Lynch (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.1
Final polls said
R+1.0
5 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | D+1.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+1.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | Suffolk University | R+2.0 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+3.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+9.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Becker Institute | D+10.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-303
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2004-10-271
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-265
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2004-10-202
Suffolk University2004-10-164
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Hampshire Governor race?
John Lynch (D) won, by about 2.1 points (D+2.1).
When was the 2004 New Hampshire Governor election held?
It was held in November 2004.