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Toss-up · 2004 House
Arizona House
In the 2004 Arizona House race, Richard Renzi (R) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
R+22.3
Final polls said
R+23.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+23.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory2004-10-161
Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory2004-09-1211
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Arizona House race?
Richard Renzi (R) won, by about 22.3 points (R+22.3).
When was the 2004 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.