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Toss-up · 2004 House
Arizona House
In the 2004 Arizona House race, Richard Renzi (R) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
R+22.3
Final polls said
R+23.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+23.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory2004-10-161
Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory2004-09-1211
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Arizona House race?
Richard Renzi (R) won, by about 22.3 points (R+22.3).
When was the 2004 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2004.