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Toss-up · 2004 House
North Carolina House
In the 2004 North Carolina House race, Charles H. Taylor (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.8
Final polls said
D+1.6
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feldman Group | D+1.0 | 10.8 | ✗ |
| 2 | University of North Carolina School of Journalism and Mass Communication | D+2.3 | 12.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Feldman Group2004-10-2011
University of North Carolina School of Journalism and Mass Communication2004-10-1612
Feldman Group2004-10-068
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 North Carolina House race?
Charles H. Taylor (R) won, by about 9.8 points (R+9.8).
When was the 2004 North Carolina House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.