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Toss-up · 2004 House
New Mexico House
In the 2004 New Mexico House race, Stevan Pearce (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+20.4
Final polls said
R+12.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+12.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2004-10-288
Research & Polling Inc.2004-10-0312
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Mexico House race?
Stevan Pearce (R) won, by about 20.4 points (R+20.4).
When was the 2004 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2004.