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Toss-up · 2004 House
New Mexico House
In the 2004 New Mexico House race, Stevan Pearce (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+20.4
Final polls said
R+12.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+12.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2004-10-288
Research & Polling Inc.2004-10-0312
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Mexico House race?
Stevan Pearce (R) won, by about 20.4 points (R+20.4).
When was the 2004 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.