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Toss-up · 2004 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2004 Pennsylvania House race, Allyson Y. Schwartz (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.5
Final polls said
D+18.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+18.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2004-10-264
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2004-09-183
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Pennsylvania House race?
Allyson Y. Schwartz (D) won, by about 14.5 points (D+14.5).
When was the 2004 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2004.