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Toss-up · 2004 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2004 Pennsylvania House race, Thomas Timothy Holden (D) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
D+20.2
Final polls said
D+16.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+20.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | D+12.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
American Research Group2004-10-148
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2004-09-030
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Pennsylvania House race?
Thomas Timothy Holden (D) won, by about 20.2 points (D+20.2).
When was the 2004 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2004.