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Toss-up · 2004 House
Texas House
In the 2004 Texas House race, Randy Neugebauer (R) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
R+18.4
Final polls said
R+9.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+9.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2004-09-279
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Texas House race?
Randy Neugebauer (R) won, by about 18.4 points (R+18.4).
When was the 2004 Texas House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.