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Toss-up · 2004 House
Texas House
In the 2004 Texas House race, Ted Poe (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+12.6
Final polls said
R+4.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harstad Strategic Research | R+4.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harstad Strategic Research2004-09-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Texas House race?
Ted Poe (R) won, by about 12.6 points (R+12.6).
When was the 2004 Texas House election held?
It was held in November 2004.