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Toss-up · 2004 President
Alabama President
In the 2004 Alabama President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
R+25.6
Final polls said
R+18.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital Survey Research Center | R+24.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+18.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of South Alabama Polling Group | R+37.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+14.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+11.0 | 14.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-268
Capital Survey Research Center2004-10-132
SurveyUSA2004-10-022
University of South Alabama Polling Group2004-09-2911
American Research Group2004-09-1512
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Alabama President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 25.6 points (R+25.6).
When was the 2004 Alabama President election held?
It was held in November 2004.