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Toss-up · 2004 President
Alabama President
In the 2004 Alabama President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
R+25.6
Final polls said
R+18.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital Survey Research Center | R+24.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+18.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of South Alabama Polling Group | R+37.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+14.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+11.0 | 14.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-268
Capital Survey Research Center2004-10-132
SurveyUSA2004-10-022
University of South Alabama Polling Group2004-09-2911
American Research Group2004-09-1512
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Alabama President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 25.6 points (R+25.6).
When was the 2004 Alabama President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.