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Toss-up · 2004 President
Connecticut President
In the 2004 Connecticut President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.4
Final polls said
D+10.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+6.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | D+15.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Quinnipiac University2004-09-274
American Research Group2004-09-135
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Connecticut President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 10.4 points (D+10.4).
When was the 2004 Connecticut President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.