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Toss-up · 2004 President
Hawaii President
In the 2004 Hawaii President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+8.7
Final polls said
R+0.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | D+10.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ward Research | EVEN | 8.7 | ✗ |
| 3 | SMS Research & Marketing Services | R+1.0 | 9.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SMS Research & Marketing Services2004-10-1910
Ward Research2004-10-159
American Research Group2004-09-091
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Hawaii President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 8.7 points (D+8.7).
When was the 2004 Hawaii President election held?
It was held in November 2004.