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Toss-up · 2004 President
Illinois President
In the 2004 Illinois President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.3
Final polls said
D+10.0
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victory Research | D+10.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Richard Day Research | D+10.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+11.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+12.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Market Shares Corp. | D+8.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+6.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Victory Research2004-10-300
SurveyUSA2004-10-282
Market Shares Corp.2004-10-182
Richard Day Research2004-10-170
SurveyUSA2004-10-056
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Illinois President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 10.3 points (D+10.3).
When was the 2004 Illinois President election held?
It was held in November 2004.