← all past elections
Toss-up · 2004 President
Indiana President
In the 2004 Indiana President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+20.7
Final polls said
R+20.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selzer & Co. | R+20.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+19.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+15.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Selzer & Co.2004-10-281
SurveyUSA2004-10-282
SurveyUSA2004-10-181
SurveyUSA2004-10-042
Selzer & Co.2004-10-017
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Indiana President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 20.7 points (R+20.7).
When was the 2004 Indiana President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.