← all past elections
Toss-up · 2004 President
Kentucky President
In the 2004 Kentucky President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+19.9
Final polls said
R+20.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+21.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | R+18.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Louisville Courier-Journal | R+17.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-291
Louisville Courier-Journal2004-10-193
SurveyUSA2004-10-182
SurveyUSA2004-10-051
Louisville Courier-Journal2004-09-125
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Kentucky President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 19.9 points (R+19.9).
When was the 2004 Kentucky President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.