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Toss-up · 2004 President

Kentucky President

In the 2004 Kentucky President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 20 points.

Actual result
R+19.9
Final polls said
R+20.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1SurveyUSAR+21.01.1✓
2American Research GroupR+18.01.9✓
3Louisville Courier-JournalR+17.02.9✓

The polls behind it

7 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-291
Louisville Courier-Journal2004-10-193
SurveyUSA2004-10-182
SurveyUSA2004-10-051
Louisville Courier-Journal2004-09-125

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2004 Kentucky President race?

George W. Bush (R) won, by about 19.9 points (R+19.9).

When was the 2004 Kentucky President election held?

It was held in November 2004.

Which party matches you?

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