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Toss-up · 2004 President
Louisiana President
In the 2004 Louisiana President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
R+14.5
Final polls said
R+16.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Market Research Insight | R+15.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | R+18.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans | R+9.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of New Orleans Survey Research Center | R+8.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | R+8.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Southeastern Louisiana University Social Science Research Center | R+26.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Southeastern Louisiana University Social Science Research Center2004-10-1911
Market Research Insight2004-10-180
University of New Orleans Survey Research Center2004-10-177
Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans2004-10-146
Southern Media & Opinion Research2004-10-123
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Louisiana President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 14.5 points (R+14.5).
When was the 2004 Louisiana President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.