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Toss-up · 2004 President
Maine President
In the 2004 Maine President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+9.0
Final polls said
D+8.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+11.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | D+4.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Myers Research & Strategic Services | D+3.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Digital Research | D+3.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-291
Zogby Analytics2004-10-202
SurveyUSA2004-10-183
SurveyUSA2004-10-047
Myers Research & Strategic Services2004-09-256
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Maine President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 9.0 points (D+9.0).
When was the 2004 Maine President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.