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Toss-up · 2004 President
Montana President
In the 2004 Montana President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+20.5
Final polls said
R+21.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+21.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | R+21.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+28.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-191
Montana State University Billings2004-10-091
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-09-213
American Research Group2004-09-088
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Montana President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 20.5 points (R+20.5).
When was the 2004 Montana President election held?
It was held in November 2004.