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Toss-up · 2004 President
New Jersey President
In the 2004 New Jersey President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.7
Final polls said
D+7.3
10 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+7.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | D+8.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+5.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+12.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+12.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
23 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Quinnipiac University2004-10-292
SurveyUSA2004-10-285
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling2004-10-283
Fairleigh Dickinson University2004-10-250
Quinnipiac University2004-10-237
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Jersey President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 6.7 points (D+6.7).
When was the 2004 New Jersey President election held?
It was held in November 2004.