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Toss-up · 2004 President
Nevada President
In the 2004 Nevada President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.6
Final polls said
R+4.7
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | R+2.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Belden Russonello | R+4.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+1.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | R+5.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Gallup | R+9.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-315
Zogby Analytics2004-10-312
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-283
SurveyUSA2004-10-283
Zogby Analytics2004-10-282
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Nevada President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 2.6 points (R+2.6).
When was the 2004 Nevada President election held?
It was held in November 2004.