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Toss-up · 2004 President
Nevada President
In the 2004 Nevada President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.6
Final polls said
R+4.7
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | R+2.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Belden Russonello | R+4.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+1.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | R+5.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Gallup | R+9.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-315
Zogby Analytics2004-10-312
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-283
SurveyUSA2004-10-283
Zogby Analytics2004-10-282
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Nevada President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 2.6 points (R+2.6).
When was the 2004 Nevada President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.