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Toss-up · 2004 President
Oklahoma President
In the 2004 Oklahoma President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 31 points.
Actual result
R+31.1
Final polls said
R+30.2
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+30.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | WPA Intelligence | R+33.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Basswood Research | R+33.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+34.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | R+28.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | R+17.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-291
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates2004-10-253
WPA Intelligence2004-10-232
SurveyUSA2004-10-191
WPA Intelligence2004-10-161
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Oklahoma President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 31.1 points (R+31.1).
When was the 2004 Oklahoma President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.