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Toss-up · 2004 President
Oregon President
In the 2004 Oregon President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.2
Final polls said
D+5.9
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | D+4.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+6.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | DHM Research | D+6.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Moore Information Group | D+2.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+7.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gallup | D+8.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | D+10.1 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Riley Research Associates | R+5.0 | 9.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-286
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-282
SurveyUSA2004-10-261
American Research Group2004-10-260
DHM Research2004-10-262
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Oregon President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 4.2 points (D+4.2).
When was the 2004 Oregon President election held?
It was held in November 2004.