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Toss-up · 2004 President
West Virginia President
In the 2004 West Virginia President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+12.9
Final polls said
R+5.1
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gallup | R+6.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | R+4.5 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Global Strategy Group | R+2.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | EVEN | 12.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-288
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-285
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-178
Zogby Analytics2004-10-1510
Global Strategy Group2004-10-1311
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 West Virginia President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 12.9 points (R+12.9).
When was the 2004 West Virginia President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.