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Toss-up · 2004 President
West Virginia President
In the 2004 West Virginia President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+12.9
Final polls said
R+5.1
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gallup | R+6.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | R+4.5 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Global Strategy Group | R+2.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | EVEN | 12.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-288
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-285
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-178
Zogby Analytics2004-10-1510
Global Strategy Group2004-10-1311
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 West Virginia President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 12.9 points (R+12.9).
When was the 2004 West Virginia President election held?
It was held in November 2004.