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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Indiana Senate
In the 2004 Indiana Senate race, Evan Bayh (D) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
D+24.4
Final polls said
D+29.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+27.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Selzer & Co. | D+39.0 | 14.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-283
SurveyUSA2004-10-188
SurveyUSA2004-10-0414
Selzer & Co.2004-10-0115
SurveyUSA2004-09-0812
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Indiana Senate race?
Evan Bayh (D) won, by about 24.4 points (D+24.4).
When was the 2004 Indiana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.