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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Indiana Senate
In the 2004 Indiana Senate race, Evan Bayh (D) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
D+24.4
Final polls said
D+29.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+27.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Selzer & Co. | D+39.0 | 14.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-283
SurveyUSA2004-10-188
SurveyUSA2004-10-0414
Selzer & Co.2004-10-0115
SurveyUSA2004-09-0812
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Indiana Senate race?
Evan Bayh (D) won, by about 24.4 points (D+24.4).
When was the 2004 Indiana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.