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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Maryland Senate
In the 2004 Maryland Senate race, Barbara A. Mikulski (D) won by about 31 points.
Actual result
D+31.1
Final polls said
D+37.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ipsos | D+37.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+24.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ipsos2004-10-256
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2004-10-037
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Maryland Senate race?
Barbara A. Mikulski (D) won, by about 31.1 points (D+31.1).
When was the 2004 Maryland Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.