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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Missouri Senate
In the 2004 Missouri Senate race, Christopher S. Bond (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+13.3
Final polls said
R+20.0
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Market Research Institute Inc. | R+17.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+19.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-306
SurveyUSA2004-10-2413
Market Research Institute Inc.2004-10-244
SurveyUSA2004-10-175
SurveyUSA2004-10-0312
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Missouri Senate race?
Christopher S. Bond (R) won, by about 13.3 points (R+13.3).
When was the 2004 Missouri Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.