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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
New Hampshire Senate
In the 2004 New Hampshire Senate race, Judd Gregg (R) won by about 32 points.
Actual result
R+32.5
Final polls said
R+35.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+36.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | R+26.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+40.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | R+40.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+22.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-304
American Research Group2004-10-298
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2004-10-278
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-267
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2004-10-201
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Hampshire Senate race?
Judd Gregg (R) won, by about 32.5 points (R+32.5).
When was the 2004 New Hampshire Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.