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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
New Hampshire Senate
In the 2004 New Hampshire Senate race, Judd Gregg (R) won by about 32 points.
Actual result
R+32.5
Final polls said
R+35.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+36.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | R+26.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+40.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | R+40.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+22.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-304
American Research Group2004-10-298
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2004-10-278
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-267
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2004-10-201
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Hampshire Senate race?
Judd Gregg (R) won, by about 32.5 points (R+32.5).
When was the 2004 New Hampshire Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.