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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Nevada Senate
In the 2004 Nevada Senate race, Harry Reid (D) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
D+25.9
Final polls said
D+26.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+24.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+24.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Belden Russonello | D+34.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+12.0 | 13.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-302
Zogby Analytics2004-10-263
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-262
Belden Russonello2004-10-188
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-171
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Nevada Senate race?
Harry Reid (D) won, by about 25.9 points (D+25.9).
When was the 2004 Nevada Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.