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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Nevada Senate
In the 2004 Nevada Senate race, Harry Reid (D) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
D+25.9
Final polls said
D+26.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+24.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+24.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Belden Russonello | D+34.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+12.0 | 13.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-302
Zogby Analytics2004-10-263
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-262
Belden Russonello2004-10-188
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-171
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Nevada Senate race?
Harry Reid (D) won, by about 25.9 points (D+25.9).
When was the 2004 Nevada Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.