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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Oklahoma Senate
In the 2004 Oklahoma Senate race, Tom Coburn (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+11.5
Final polls said
R+2.6
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | R+5.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | WPA Intelligence | R+3.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | SoonerPoll.com | R+1.2 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Basswood Research | R+1.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Global Strategy Group | D+1.0 | 12.5 | ✗ |
| 8 | Consumer Logic | D+7.0 | 18.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
26 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-294
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates2004-10-257
WPA Intelligence2004-10-239
SoonerPoll.com2004-10-2010
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-207
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Oklahoma Senate race?
Tom Coburn (R) won, by about 11.5 points (R+11.5).
When was the 2004 Oklahoma Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.