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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Washington Senate
In the 2004 Washington Senate race, Patty Murray (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.2
Final polls said
D+13.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+14.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | FM3 Research | D+15.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mellman Group | D+16.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elway Research | D+17.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+6.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-306
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-252
SurveyUSA2004-10-242
SurveyUSA2004-10-166
Elway Research2004-10-155
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Washington Senate race?
Patty Murray (D) won, by about 12.2 points (D+12.2).
When was the 2004 Washington Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.