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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
Alaska Governor
In the 2006 Alaska Governor race, Sarah Palin (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.4
Final polls said
R+4.1
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dittman Research | R+6.1 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Alaska Survey Research | R+11.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Craciun Research Group | EVEN | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | Hellenthal & Associates | D+0.7 | 8.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Dittman Research2006-11-041
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-022
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-296
Dittman Research2006-10-212
Hellenthal & Associates2006-10-208
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Alaska Governor race?
Sarah Palin (R) won, by about 7.4 points (R+7.4).
When was the 2006 Alaska Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.