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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
Maryland Governor
In the 2006 Maryland Governor race, Martin O'Malley (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.5
Final polls said
D+3.1
12 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+6.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+5.4 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+10.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Gallup | D+12.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+1.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Potomac Incorporated | D+1.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 6.5 | ✗ |
| 10 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+1.0 | 7.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-044
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-027
SurveyUSA2006-11-016
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-016
YouGov2006-10-315
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Maryland Governor race?
Martin O'Malley (D) won, by about 6.5 points (D+6.5).
When was the 2006 Maryland Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.