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Toss-up · 2006 Governor
Maryland Governor
In the 2006 Maryland Governor race, Martin O'Malley (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.5
Final polls said
D+3.1
12 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+6.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+5.4 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+10.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Gallup | D+12.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+1.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Potomac Incorporated | D+1.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 6.5 | ✗ |
| 10 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+1.0 | 7.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-044
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-11-027
SurveyUSA2006-11-016
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-11-016
YouGov2006-10-315
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Maryland Governor race?
Martin O'Malley (D) won, by about 6.5 points (D+6.5).
When was the 2006 Maryland Governor election held?
It was held in November 2006.