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Toss-up · 2006 House
Arizona House
In the 2006 Arizona House race, Harry E. Mitchell (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.0
Final polls said
D+0.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grove Insight | D+3.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+2.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Normington, Petts & Associates | R+1.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 4 | The Polling Company Inc. | R+9.0 | 13.0 | ✗ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+14.0 | 18.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-10-302
Normington, Petts & Associates2006-10-185
SurveyUSA2006-10-147
The Polling Company Inc.2006-10-0313
Public Opinion Strategies2006-09-1818
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Arizona House race?
Harry E. Mitchell (D) won, by about 4.0 points (D+4.0).
When was the 2006 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2006.