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Toss-up · 2006 House
Arizona House
In the 2006 Arizona House race, Gabrielle Giffords (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.2
Final polls said
D+12.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+12.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence | D+10.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Wick Communications | D+15.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | GQR | D+19.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+25.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Wick Communications2006-10-273
Zogby Analytics2006-10-260
Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence2006-10-222
Zogby Analytics2006-09-294
Wick Communications2006-09-226
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Arizona House race?
Gabrielle Giffords (D) won, by about 12.2 points (D+12.2).
When was the 2006 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2006.