← all past elections
Toss-up · 2006 House
Arizona House
In the 2006 Arizona House race, Gabrielle Giffords (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.2
Final polls said
D+12.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+12.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence | D+10.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Wick Communications | D+15.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | GQR | D+19.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+25.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Wick Communications2006-10-273
Zogby Analytics2006-10-260
Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence2006-10-222
Zogby Analytics2006-09-294
Wick Communications2006-09-226
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Arizona House race?
Gabrielle Giffords (D) won, by about 12.2 points (D+12.2).
When was the 2006 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.