← all past elections
Toss-up · 2006 House
California House
In the 2006 California House race, Brian P. Bilbray (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.6
Final polls said
R+14.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+14.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Moore Information Group | D+4.0 | 13.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | Lake Research Partners | D+7.0 | 16.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-024
SurveyUSA2006-10-147
SurveyUSA2006-05-313
Lake Research Partners2006-05-1412
SurveyUSA2006-05-085
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 California House race?
Brian P. Bilbray (R) won, by about 9.6 points (R+9.6).
When was the 2006 California House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.