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Toss-up · 2006 House
Connecticut House
In the 2006 Connecticut House race, Christopher Murphy (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.9
Final polls said
D+6.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | D+8.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+5.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Connecticut | D+4.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Viewpoint | R+10.0 | 22.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Connecticut2006-10-269
RT Strategies2006-10-255
Grove Insight2006-10-128
RT Strategies2006-10-0919
American Viewpoint2006-10-0123
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Connecticut House race?
Christopher Murphy (D) won, by about 12.9 points (D+12.9).
When was the 2006 Connecticut House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.