Actual result
R+7.1
Final polls said
R+13.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+15.8
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cooper & Secrest | R+7.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+15.8 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Voter/Consumer Research | R+19.0 | 11.9 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voter/Consumer Research | 2006-09-19 | 400 | R+19.0 | 12 |
| Cooper & Secrest | 2006-09-10 | 503 | R+7.0 | 0 |